fall propane

Fall Propane Supply Outlook

Dan Biofuels/Energy, This Land of Ours

Fuel prices are lowering, but still high in many places. What does that mean for the fall propane supply and price outlook? That’s coming up on This Land of Ours.  

fall propane
Image by Jonas from Pixabay

A big topic for nearly everyone is the price of fuel, especially as diesel hits a record high. Naturally, that has many farmers wondering about the cost of propane and its availability this fall. Mike Newland, Director of Agriculture Business Development at the Propane Education and Research Council, says there are no indicators of a supply disruption going into the busy season.

“While we’ve seen crude and natural gas raised to record prices, propane has been very steady during that same period of time. You know, as you look at the farm and how fuel intense our farming industry is, I think it gives growers a great opportunity to lock in their bottom dollar if you will, by taking a look at pricing tools that are available to you at the local propane supplier level. It’s an opportunity for you to lock in what the energy that you need for this fall. We’d encourage you to communicate with your local supplier just as fast and early as you can,” he said.

Newland closely watched the Mid-year USDA acreage report, which showed that despite having planted 89 percent of the average corn crop by May 29, only 61 percent of that had emerged, 18 percent lower than in 2021. Newland is tracking corn moisture going forward into the harvest season.

“And we will give it to black layer, it’s just a function of how much natural drying occurs in the field versus how much will we have to do with the grain dryers. And that’s really what the industry is tracking. We’ve got an internal model that we’ve developed over time to where we can track corn moisture in every USDA crop district in the Midwest and compare it back to 22 years worth of history,” he said. “So, the propane industry does a great job of being proactive and understanding what could happen from a drying perspective. The good news is that we’re prepared for it and we’re communicating with our entire industry across the Midwest to make sure that they’re prepared at the local level.”

If growers are forced to harvest high moisture corn, Newland says propane suppliers are well-equipped to meet increased demand.

“Propane is produced domestically, we’ve got a lot of supply. We do export over 50 percent of the propane that’s available to us in the U.S. So, from a supply standpoint, we track it at the distribution point level. We’re within the five-year range of what we typically see our summer inventories being. The one thing I would caution a little bit is if you’re in an area where you think you may have higher than normal usage, your corn is wet, or you may think you may struggle to get the black layer, and you know that you’re going to use a lot of propane, get those tanks filled early, make sure you’re talking with your supplier to let them know how many gallons you think you could use, because communication is the key to making sure that we’ve got the product in place and available for the folks who need it when they need it.”

Additionally, Newland says propane is a versatile energy source that allows growers to use it in several ways.

“Just outside of the grain drying space, we’ve got tremendous opportunities. As I mentioned before, we’re in a pretty advantageous space from price as we compare to diesel and gasoline. So, anything around the farm, I think would be a great time to explore conversion or move to propane power,” he said. “We do a lot of irrigating around the country that runs on propane, we heat almost every livestock building, if you’re not on a natural gas main, we’re heating it with propane. So, we’ve got some pretty novel things that we can do with our fuel. We would encourage everybody to maybe take a look at propane.com/agriculture to see the offerings that we can power around the farm.”

Newland says farmers should discuss with their supplier in the summer what their propane needs may be and what tools they may offer at the local level. Additionally, you can find resources to help start that conversation online.

“Everything about our organization and the tools that can be found at propane.com. One of the novel things we have created is our grain drying calculator. I’d encourage you to go there, by answering three simple questions, how many acres of corn you have, what’s your expected yields going to be, how many points of moisture are you looking to take out of that crop before it goes in the bin? It will give you a very quick estimate on how many gallons of propane you’re going to need. And I think that’s a great bit of information as you go to that local supplier, and really get that conversation started in the right direction,” he said.

Listen to Sabrina Halvorson’s This Land of Ours program here.

Fall Propane Supply Outlook

Sabrina Halvorson
National Correspondent / AgNet Media, Inc.

Sabrina Halvorson is an award-winning journalist, broadcaster, and public speaker who specializes in agriculture. She primarily reports on legislative issues and hosts The AgNet News Hour and The AgNet Weekly podcast. Sabrina is a native of California’s agriculture-rich Central Valley.