The U.S. Department of Agriculture is forecasting increased production for several non-orange citrus crops in the 2026 season, with lemons, tangerines and other citrus fruit expected to see gains compared with last year. However, production trends vary by state, with California leading growth in several categories while Florida is projected to see declines in some areas.
Anthony Prillaman with the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service shared the latest figures, highlighting expected changes in fruit, lemon and tangerine production across the country.
U.S. Non-Orange Citrus Production Expected to Increase
U.S. non-orange citrus fruit production is forecast at 343,000 tons, an increase of 8.2% from 2025.
California and Texas are expected to see production increases, with output projected to rise by 400,000 boxes and 300,000 boxes, respectively. Florida, however, is forecast to produce 50,000 fewer boxes than last season.
The outlook points to overall growth in non-orange citrus production, although regional differences remain important for growers and the broader citrus industry.
Lemon Production Forecast Reaches New High
U.S. lemon production is forecast to increase 7.8% from last year. California is expected to lead that growth, with production projected to reach a record 28 million boxes.
Arizona lemon production is forecast to increase by 130,000 boxes compared with the previous season. Florida is also expected to see an increase, with lemon production projected to rise by 50,000 boxes.
The forecast suggests a stronger season for the U.S. lemon industry, particularly in California, where production is expected to reach a new high.
Tangerine Production Rises Despite Regional Differences
U.S. tangerine production is forecast at 1.13 million boxes, up 3.1% from last year. California is expected to reach record production, while Florida’s tangerine production is projected to decline.
These differences highlight how citrus production can vary across growing regions, even when national totals are trending upward.
The latest USDA forecast provides growers and industry members with an updated look at expected supplies for the coming season. Production levels will remain an important factor for the citrus market as the industry tracks crop development and regional output.
Listen to the accompanying report for more details on the USDA’s non-orange citrus production forecast and what the latest numbers mean for the citrus industry.